We are watching 10 US Senate races this year, all with implications for Democrats’ ability to hold the Senate and women’s ability to maintain our representation in Congress. You can track US House primaries and general election races via our partner, WomenCount.
Last updated September 11
Delaware, Solid D: Delaware’s at-large Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester had no primary challenger for this open seat, so she is now set to become only the third Black woman elected to the US Senate, in what is also a pickup for women.
Florida, Likely R: Former US Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell is the official Democratic nominee in the Sunshine State. A statewide victory in Florida has slipped just out of reach for Democrats in recent cycles, but this year could be different because there is a statewide abortion initiative on the ballot. Republican incumbent Sen. Rick Scott is also uniquely vulnerable; he won in 2018 by only .05 percent.
Indiana, Likely R: Indiana has not had a Democrat representing it in the US Senate since Joe Donnelly was defeated for re-election in 2018. This race is firmly Rep. Jim Banks’ to lose, but by nominating a new kind of Democrat—Valerie is a career medical professional as well as the first Black woman nominated to run for Senate in Indiana’s history—state Democrats are showing they’re committed to making the race competitive.
Maryland, Likely D: Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks cruised to victory over US. Rep. David Trone in the primary, netting a solid 54 percent of the vote despite being outspent nearly 9-to-1 as Trone dropped $62 million of his own money in the race. General election polls show a close race with her general election opponent, former Republican Gov. Larry Hogan.
Michigan, Toss-Up: Rep. Elissa Slotkin is the nominee to hold this open Democratic seat currently held by retiring Sen. Debbie Stabenow. Former Rep. Mike Rogers won the Republican primary.
Nevada, Toss Up: Incumbent Sen. Jacky Rosen faces one of the toughest races in the Senate this year. Her fellow Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto retained her seat in 2022 by less than a point, and Sen. Jacky Rosen is a freshman, making her even more vulnerable. She will face Army veteran Sam Brown in the general election. He won nearly 60 percent of the vote in the Republican primary, after Donald Trump’s last-minute endorsement signaled support from the MAGA base. That endorsement is likely to turbo-charge his Republican support in the fall—but could hurt him among independents and swing voters, who he’s been trying to court by taking a more moderate stance on abortion and keeping mum on Trump’s claims of election rigging.
North Dakota, Solid R: Katrina, an educator and engineer, is again stepping up to challenge the incumbent in this Republican-held seat—she was the nominee in 2022 for the state’s Class 3 Senate seat—this time against freshman incumbent Sen. Kevin Cramer, who beat former Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp to flip this seat in 2018. This seat is unlikely to flip back, but considering how recently Democrats held it, things could be interesting.
Tennessee, Likely R: The Democratic nominee to take on Sen. Marsha Blackburn is Gloria Johnson, a member of the Tennessee House of Representatives and one of the “Tennessee Three” who were censured by Republican leadership after protesting gun violence. Gloria is a teacher, and in 2008, a student at the school where Gloria was teaching was shot to death by another student.
Utah, Solid R: Professional ski mountaineer and climate activist Caroline Gleich will face Rep. John Curtis for this open seat being vacated by Sen. Mitt Romney. Curtis is not an election denier but is significantly more conservative than Romney, which at least presents an opportunity for Caroline to make things interesting in a state that’s trended steadily to the center in the Trump era, although this seat doesn’t appear to be in serious danger of flipping.
Wisconsin, Lean D: Incumbent Sen. Tammy Baldwin is seeking a third term. Her general election opponent is venture capitalist Eric Hovde, who has so far sunk more than $13 million of his own money into the race.